New Developmentalism and quasi-stagnation in Brazil

Auteurs-es

  • Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira Emeritus professor of Getúlio Vargas Foundation

DOI :

https://doi.org/10.7203/IREP.6.2.30129

Résumé

This paper argues that the Brazilian economy has been quasi-stagnant since the 1980s. In this decade, income per capita stagnated due to the foreign debt crisis and high inflation. From 1990 on, the country resumed growth but at a considerably lower level, with a rate inferior to the rich countries, configurating quasi-stagnation. The new historical facts that explain this were the public savings that turned negative, and two causes associated with the exchange rate: the belief in the policy of growth with foreign savings and the non-neutralization of the Dutch disease by engaging in trade liberalization. Those three facts depressed the investment rate. The paper ends with a few policy recommendations.

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Références

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2002) “Citizenship and res publica: the emergence of republican rights”, Citizenship Studies, 6 (2) 2002: 145-164.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2007) Macroeconomia da Estagnação [Macroeconomics of Stagnation], São Paulo: Editora 34.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2008) "The Dutch disease and its neutralization: a Ricardian approach" (2008) Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 28 (1): 47-71. (445) http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0101-31572008000100003

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2012) "The exchange rate at the center of development theory" Estudos Avançados [Advanced Studies], 26(75): 7-28. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0103-40142012000200002

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2015) "The access to demand", Keynesian Brazilian Review 1(1) 1o. Semester: 35-43. https://doi.org/10.33834/bkr.v1i1.14

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2017) "The two forms of capitalism: developmentalism and economic liberalism", Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 37 (4), October 2017: 680-703. https:/doi.org/10.1590/0101-31572017v37n04a02

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2018a) “Direitos republicanos e a captura ‘legal’ do Estado brasileiro”, Revista do Serviço Público (RSP), Número Especial, “Repensando o Estado Brasileiro": 69: 15-30.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos (2018b [2019]) "Why did trade liberalization work for East Asia but fail in Latin America?", Challenge 62(4) 2019: 273-277. Original: Keynote Speech at the Shanghai Forum, 26-28 May 2018. DOI: 10.1080/05775132.2019.1632526

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos; Eliane C. Araújo; Paulo Gala (2014) “An empirical study of the substitution of foreign for domestic savings in Brazil”, Revista EconomiA (Anpec) 15, 2014: 54-67. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econ.2014.04.001.

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos; Eliane C. Araújo; Samuel Costa Peres (2019), "An alternative to the middle-income trap", Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 52, March: 294-312. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2019.11.007

Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos; Paulo Gala (2008) “Foreign savings, insufficiency of demand, and low growth”, Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 30(3), Spring 2008: 315-334. http://dx.doi.org/10.2753/PKE0160-3477300301.

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Publié-e

2024-12-26

Comment citer

Bresser-Pereira , L. C. (2024). New Developmentalism and quasi-stagnation in Brazil. International Review of Economic Policy-Revista Internacional De Política Económica, 6(2), 24–37. https://doi.org/10.7203/IREP.6.2.30129
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