Analyse comparative des perceptions des agriculteurs et adaptation au changement climatique sur des zones spécifiques du Népal, Myanmar, Thaïlande et Vietnam
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.7203/eutopias.0.18594Mots-clés :
Changement climatique, production agricole mondiale, Nepal, Birmania, Thailande, VietnamRésumé
Au cours du XXIe siècle, les phénomènes météorologiques extrêmes devraient augmenter en fréquence et en intensité, tout en ayant un impact sur la production agricole mondiale. Les agriculteurs des zones rurales comptent parmi les groupes socio-économiques les plus vulnérables, car ils dépendent beaucoup du climat. En outre, l’Asie du Sud et du Sud-Est est considérée comme la région la plus exposée, dont le Népal, le Myanmar, la Thaïlande et le Vietnam méritent une mention spéciale. Cet article examine les perceptions et l’adaptation des agriculteurs au changement climatique dans des zones spécifiques de ces pays, ainsi que les liens entre ceux qui s’intéressent au transfert et à la génération de techniques agronomiques pour les plus vulnérables. En outre, le principal résultat de ce travail confirme que le changement climatique, ainsi que l’adaptation, sont perçus différemment entre et au sein des pays. En fait, la combinaison d’informations empiriques et de données météorologiques enregistrées est, par conséquent, un élément clé du processus décisionnel.
Téléchargements
Références
Adger, W. N. (1999). Social vulnerability to climate change and extremes in coastal Vietnam. World development, 27 (2), pp. 249-269
Adger, W. N. (2000). Institutional adaptation to environmental risk under the transition in Vietnam. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 90 (4), pp. 738-758
Adger, W. N. (2003). Social capital, collective action, and adaptation to climate change. Economic Geography, 79 (4), pp. 387-404
Adger, N., Arnell, N., & Tomkins, E. (2005). Successful adaptation to climate change across scales. Global Environmental Change, 15 (2), pp. 77-86
Adger, W. N., Kelly, P. M., & Ninh, N. H. (2012). Living with environmental change: social vulnerability, adaptation and resilience in Vietnam. 1st edition. Routledge: London and New York
Asian Development Bank (ADB). (2013). Food security in Asia and the Pacific. Retrieved from: http://reliefweb.int
Attavanich, W. (2013). The Effect of Climate Change on Thailand’s Agriculture. Retrieved from: https://www.researchgate.net
Babel, M. S., Agarwal, A., Swain, D. K., & Herath, S. (2011). Evaluation of climate change impacts and adaptation measures for rice cultivation in Northeast Thailand. Climate Research, 46 (2), pp. 137-146
Bartlett, R., Bharati, L., Pant, D., Hosterman, H., & McCornick, P. G. (2010). Climate change impacts and adaptation in Nepal. International Water Management Institute (IWMI). 139, pp. 1-35. Retrieved from: http://www.iwmi.cgiar.org
Biggs, E. M., Tompkins, E. L., Allen, J., Moon, C., & Allen, R. (2013). Agricultural adaptation to climate change: observations from the Mid-Hills of Nepal. Climate and Development, 5 (2), pp. 165-173
Bhusal, Y. (2009). BSc Dissertation Thesis: Local Peoples’ Perceptions on Climate Change, Its Impacts and Adaptation Measures in Mid-Mountain Region of Nepal. Retrieved from: http://www.forestrynepal.org/images/thesis/Bsc_YBhusal.pdf
Buddhaboon, C., Kongton, S., & Jintrawet, A. (2004). Climate Scenario Verification and Impact on Rain-fed Rice Production. Southeast Asia START Regional Center, Thailand, pp. 1-38
Chhetri, N. B., & Easterling, W. E. (2010). Adapting to climate change: retrospective analysis of climate technology interaction in the rice-based farming system of Nepal. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 100 (5), pp. 1156-1176
Chhetri, N., Chaudhary, P., Tiwari, P. R., & Yadaw, R. B. (2012). Institutional and technological innovation: Understanding agricultural adaptation to climate change in Nepal. Applied Geography, 33, pp. 142-150
Climate-data.org. (2016). Climate: Lumle; New Bagan; Taunggyi; Pai, Chiang Mai; Bên Tre; Vinh. Retrieved from: http://en.climate-data.org/
D’Arrigo, R., Palmer, J., Ummenhofer, C. C., Kyaw, N. N., & Krusic, P. (2011). Three centuries of Myanmar monsoon climate variability inferred from teak tree rings. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (24), pp. 1-5
Dasgupta, S., Laplante, B., Meisner, C., Wheeler, D., & Yan, J. (2009). The impact of sea level rise on developing countries: a comparative analysis. Climatic change, 93 (3-4), pp. 379-388
Felkner, J., Tazhibayeva, K., & Townsend, R. (2009). Impact of climate change on rice production in Thailand. The American economic review, 99 (2), pp. 205-210
Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO). (2014a). FAO Statistical Yearkbook, Nepal. Retrieved from http://fenixservices.fao.org
Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO). (2014b). FAO Statistical Yearkbook, Myanmar. Retrieved from: http://fenixservices.fao.org
Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO). (2014c). FAO Statistical Yearkbook, Thailand. Retrieved from: http://fenixservices.fao.org
Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO). (2014d). FAO Statistical Yearkbook, Vietnam. Retrieved from: http://fenixservices.fao.org
Fritz, H. M., Blount, C. D., Thwin, S., Thu, M. K., & Chan, N. (2009). Cyclone Nargis storm surge in Myanmar. Nature Geoscience, 2 (7), pp. 448-449
Füssel, H-M. (2009). Development and Climate Change. Postdam: Postdam Institute for Climate Climate Impact Research, pp. 1-34
Gentle, P., & Maraseni T.N. (2012). Climate change, poverty and livelihoods: adaptation practices by rural mountain communities in Nepal. Environmental Science and Policy, 21, pp. 24-34
Htut, A. Y., Shrestha, S., Nitivattananon, V., & Kawasaki, A. (2014). Forecasting climate change scenarios in the Bago River Basin, Myanmar. Journal of Earth Science & Climatic Change, 5 (9), pp. 1-11
Htway, O., & Matsumoto, J. (2011). Climatological onset dates of summer monsoon over Myanmar. International Journal of Climatology, 31 (3), pp. 382-393
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2007). Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability Contribution of working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press, pp. 976
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2013). Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Chapter 14: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press, pp. 1207-1308
International Center for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD). (2014). Glacier status in Nepal and Decadal Change from 1980 to 2010 Based on Landsat Data. Retrieved from: http://lib.icimod.org/record/29591/files/GSN-RR14-2.pdf
Karki, R., & Gurung, A. (2012). An overview of climate change and its impact on agriculture: a review from least developing country, Nepal. International Journal of Ecosystem, 2 (2), pp. 19-24
Kreft, S., Eckstein, D., Junghans, L., Kerestan, C., & Hagen, U. (2016) Global Climate Risk Index 2016. Retrieved from: https://germanwatch.org/fr/download/13503.pdf
Lebel, L., Manuta, J. B., & Garden, P. (2011). Institutional traps and vulnerability to changes in climate and flood regimes in Thailand. Regional Environmental Change, 11 (1), pp. 45-58
Le Dang, H., Li, E., Bruwer, J., & Nuberg, I. (2014). Farmers’ perceptions of climate variability and barriers to adaptation: lessons learned from an exploratory study in Vietnam. Mitigation and adaptation strategies for global change, 19 (5), pp. 531-548
Maddison, D. (2007). The perception of and adaptation to climate change in Africa. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, 4308, pp. 1-52
Malla, G. (2009). Climate change and its impact on Nepalese agriculture. Journal of agriculture and environment, 9, pp. 62-7
Manandhar, S., Vogt, D. S., Perret, S. R., & Kazama, F. (2011). Adapting cropping systems to climate change in Nepal: a cross-regional study of farmers’ perception and practices. Regional Environmental Change, 11 (2), pp. 335-348
Manandhar, S., Pratoomchai, W., Ono, K., Kazama, S., & Komori, D. (2015). Local people’s perceptions of climate change and related hazards in mountainous areas of northern Thailand. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 11, pp. 47-59
McGranahan, G., Balk, D., & Anderson, B. (2007). The rising tide: assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones. Environment and urbanization, 19 (1), pp. 17-37
McPhaden, M. J., Foltz, G. R., Lee, T., Murty, V. S. N., Ravichandran, M., Vecchi, G. A., & Yu, L. (2009). Ocean’ atmosphere interactions during cyclone Nargis. EOS, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 90 (7), pp. 53-54
Mertz, O. Mbow, C, Reenberg, A. & Diouf, A. (2009). Farmers’ perceptions of climate change and agricultural adaptation strategies in rural Sahel. Environmental Management, 43 (5), pp. 804-816
Ministry of Agricultural Development (MoAD). (2014). Web based Agriculture Atlas 2015. Retrieved from: http://apps.geoportal.icimod.org/agricultureatlas/atlas/index.html
Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment (MONRE). (2012). Climate Change scenarios and sea level rise for Vietnam. In: Nguyen, T. H., Pham, T. L., & Jarva, J. 2015. Climate change adaptation measures in Vietnam. Development and Implementation. Chapter 2: Climate change in Vietnam. New York: Springer, pp. 7-15
Ministry of Science, Technology and Environment (MSTE). (2000). Thailand’s Initial National Communication to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Retrieved from: http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/natc/thainc1.pdf
National Statistical Office (NSO). (2013). Advanced Reports 2013 Agricultural Census. Retrieved from: http://web.nso.go.th/en/census/agricult/cen_agri03.htm
Office of Environmental Policy and Planning (OEPP). (2011). Thailand’s Second National Communication to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Retrieved from: http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/natc/thainc2.pdf
Oxfam. (2009). Even the Himalayas have stopped smiling: climate change, poverty and adaptation in Nepal. Retrieved from: https://www.oxfam.org
Oxfam. (2015). Resilience in Thailand: Impact evaluation of the climate change community-based adaptation model for food security project. Retrieved from https://www.oxfam.org
Pandey, R. (2016). PhD Dissertation on: Human Ecological Implications of Climate Change in the Himalaya: In vestigating Opportunities for Adaptation in the Kaligandaki Basin, Nepal. University of Adelaide Rao, M., Htun, S., Platt, S. G., Tizard, R., Poole, C., Myint, T., & Watson, J. E. (2013). Biodiversity conservation in a changing climate: A review of threats and implications for conservation planning in Myanmar. Ambio, 42 (7), pp. 789-804
Regional Agricultural Research Station (RARS). (2016). Lumle Annual Report. Retrieved from: http://www.rarslumle.gov.np
Regmi, B-R., Thapa, L., Suwal, R. Khadka, S., Sharma, G-B., & Tamang, B-B. (2009). Agro-biodiversity management: an opportunity for mainstreaming community-based adaptation to climate change. Journal of Forest and Livelihood, 8 (1), pp. 111-121
Sapkota, S., Paudel, M. N., Thakur, N. S., Nepali, M. B., & Neupane, R. (2010). Effect of climate change on rice production: a case of six VDCs in Jumla district. Nepal Journal of Science and Technology, 11, pp. 57-62
Sen Roy, N., & Kaur, S. (2000). Climatology of monsoon rains of Myanmar (Burma). International journal of climatology, 20 (8), pp. 913-928
Smit, B., & Pilifosova, O. (2001). Adaptation to climate change in the context of sustainable development and equity. In: McCarthy, J., Canziani, O., Leary, N., Dokken, D., and White, K. Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 879-912
Smit, B., & Wandel, J. (2006). Adaptation, adaptive capacity and vulnerability. Global environmental change, 16 (3), pp. 282-292
Shrestha, S., Thin, N. M. M., & Deb, P. (2014). Assessment of climate change impacts on irrigation water requirement and rice yield for Ngamoeyeik Irrigation Project in Myanmar. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 5 (3), pp. 427-442
Swe, L. M. M., Shrestha, R. P., Ebbers, T., & Jourdain, D. (2015). Farmers’ perception of and adaptation to climate-change impacts in the Dry Zone of Myanmar. Climate and Development, 7(5), pp. 437- 453
Thailand Meteorology Department (TMD). (2008). Climatological Centre. Retrieved from: http://climate.tmd.go.th/
Thaiwater. (2011). Thailand Flood Executive Summary (2011). Retrieved from: http://www.thaiwater.net/web/index.php/ourworks2554/379-2011floodsummary.html
Thomas, D. Twyman, C. Osbahr, H. & Hewitson, B. (2007). Adaptation to climate change and variability: farmer responses to intra-seasonal precipitation trends in South Africa. Climatic Change, 83 (3), pp. 301-322
Timilsina, Y. P. (2015). Chronological Trend of Climate in the Lumle Village Development Committee from Kaski District, Nepal. Crossing the Border: International Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 3 (1), pp. 53-64
United Nations Development Program (UNDP). (2007). Human Development Report 2007/08. Climate Change and Human Development in VietNam. Retrieved from: http://hdr.undp.org
United Nations Development Program (UNDP). (2015). Human Development Report 2015. Retrieved from: http://report.hdr.undp.org
United Nations Development Program (UNDP). (2016). Environment, Climate Change, Energy and Disaster Risk Reduction Project. Retrieved from:http://www.mm.undp.org
United Nations Environmental Program (UNEP).(2009). Viet Nam Assessment Report on Climate Change (VARC). Retrieved from: http://www.unep.org/pdf/dtie/VTN_ASS_REP_CC.pdf
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). (2012). Myanmar’s National Adaptation Programme of Action to Climate Change. Retrieved from: http://unfccc.int
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). (2015a). Intended Nationally Determined Contribution of Myanmar. Retrieved from: http://www4.unfccc.int
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). (2015b). Intended Nationally Determined Contribution of Thailand. Retrieved from: http://www4.unfccc.int
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). (2015c). Intended Nationally Determined Contribution of Viet Nam. Retrieved from: http://www4.unfccc.int
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). (2016). Intended Nationally Determined Contribution of Nepal. Retrieved from: http://www4.unfccc.int
Vien, T. D. (2011). Climate change and its impact on agriculture in Vietnam. Journal ISSAAS, 17 (1), pp.17-21
Xu, J. C., A. B. Shrestha, R. Vaidya, M. Eriksson, & K. Hewitt. (2007). The melting Himalayas: regional challenges and local impacts of climate change on mountain ecosystems and livelihoods. Technical paper. International Center for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD), Kathmandu, Nepal
Yohe, G., & Tol, R. (2002). Indicators for social and economic coping capacity-moving toward a working definition of adaptive capacity. Global Environmental Change, 12 (2), pp. 25-40
Téléchargements
Publiée
Comment citer
-
Résumé257
-
PDF 88
Numéro
Rubrique
Licence
Tous les contenus publiés dans EU-topías. Revista de Interculturalidad, Comunicación y Estudios Europeos est sous licence Creative Commons Paternité-Pas d'Utilisation Commerciale-Partage des Conditions Initiales à l'Identique 4.0. Le texte complet de la licence peut être trouvé à http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0
Ils peuvent être copiés, utilisés, diffusés, transmis et affichés publiquement, à condition que:
- L'auteur et la source originale de la publication sont cités (magazine, éditeur et URL de l'œuvre).
- Ils ne sont pas utilisés à des fins commerciales.
- L'existence et les spécifications de cette licence d'utilisation sont mentionnées